Dear TP, I think you are making your conclusions based on incomplete information. The main point is: Russia is not at war with Ukraine. It is at a war with NATO (i.e., the US and its vassals). Ukraine is just the battlefield, a point of contact. This war is only partially kinetic, and it began well before February 2022 (the sanctions are an instrument of war waging). The non-kinetic part of this war is the reformatting of the world order. Just look at the processes taking place in zone B (the part of the world which is not the "West"). The world is moving towards becoming multipolar. The money flow in the international transactions in the large part of the world started to use currencies other than the US dollar. There is a hope that at the end of these "interesting times" there will be a world governed by the international law instead of being the "rules-based order".
To conclude, it is too early for making evaluations and also it is necessary to use the correct criteria as a basis for those evaluations. As Putin has said, "We haven't even started anything yet". Another quote of his that he made at the UN in 2015 (and that quote was directed towards the collective West): "Do you even understand what you have done!". By the way, the English translation fails to deliver the undertones of both statements.
Yours truly. Have been enjoying your blog for a couple of years now!
I'm glad to hear that you've been enjoying this blog. BTW, if you read my post carefully, you'll see that I traced this war all the way back to events in 2004 (not 2022), and I think I was quite plain about my believe that it was the behavior of the US/NATO/EU in this period that made the war inevitable. Like I said that the beginning of the post, I did not write this to flatter either side!
Now, I am totally agreed with you that the US-led, "rules-based-order" is in the process of collapsing, and I think it's going to keep on collapsing no matter who wins in Ukraine. And I do think that dedollarization is a big part of that. (Ironically, I believe that dedollarization will be good for lower-class Americans, because it will force America to rebuild its domestic manufacturing base, instead of relying so heavily on imports like it has for the last few decades!)
I agree that de-dollarization will help to revive the US. I read in several sources about the infighting between the US financial and manufacturing elites. The finances are in cahoots with all kinds of ideologues (neolibs and neocons) and with the globalists. They use the US only as as tool and will discard it once their goal is achieved. On the contrary, the manufacturers are, more or less, US patriots. They have come to realize that the US does not have the capacity to continue policing the world and want to pull back, shrinking the sphere of influence to include only the Anglo countries, and focus on the US economy. Perhaps the creation of AUCUS and the ongoing destruction of the German economy are connected to these changes.
Dear TP, I think you are making your conclusions based on incomplete information. The main point is: Russia is not at war with Ukraine. It is at a war with NATO (i.e., the US and its vassals). Ukraine is just the battlefield, a point of contact. This war is only partially kinetic, and it began well before February 2022 (the sanctions are an instrument of war waging). The non-kinetic part of this war is the reformatting of the world order. Just look at the processes taking place in zone B (the part of the world which is not the "West"). The world is moving towards becoming multipolar. The money flow in the international transactions in the large part of the world started to use currencies other than the US dollar. There is a hope that at the end of these "interesting times" there will be a world governed by the international law instead of being the "rules-based order".
To conclude, it is too early for making evaluations and also it is necessary to use the correct criteria as a basis for those evaluations. As Putin has said, "We haven't even started anything yet". Another quote of his that he made at the UN in 2015 (and that quote was directed towards the collective West): "Do you even understand what you have done!". By the way, the English translation fails to deliver the undertones of both statements.
Yours truly. Have been enjoying your blog for a couple of years now!
Alex
Alex,
I'm glad to hear that you've been enjoying this blog. BTW, if you read my post carefully, you'll see that I traced this war all the way back to events in 2004 (not 2022), and I think I was quite plain about my believe that it was the behavior of the US/NATO/EU in this period that made the war inevitable. Like I said that the beginning of the post, I did not write this to flatter either side!
Now, I am totally agreed with you that the US-led, "rules-based-order" is in the process of collapsing, and I think it's going to keep on collapsing no matter who wins in Ukraine. And I do think that dedollarization is a big part of that. (Ironically, I believe that dedollarization will be good for lower-class Americans, because it will force America to rebuild its domestic manufacturing base, instead of relying so heavily on imports like it has for the last few decades!)
I agree that de-dollarization will help to revive the US. I read in several sources about the infighting between the US financial and manufacturing elites. The finances are in cahoots with all kinds of ideologues (neolibs and neocons) and with the globalists. They use the US only as as tool and will discard it once their goal is achieved. On the contrary, the manufacturers are, more or less, US patriots. They have come to realize that the US does not have the capacity to continue policing the world and want to pull back, shrinking the sphere of influence to include only the Anglo countries, and focus on the US economy. Perhaps the creation of AUCUS and the ongoing destruction of the German economy are connected to these changes.
Brilliant.